Senior Data Scientist, AI Product Insights

About the Team

The Proactive Insights team is a newly formed team at the center of Mixpanel's AI-first analytics vision. With a greenfield charter, we're building the intelligent layer that transforms Mixpanel from a tool you query into a partner that works for you.

We answer the question every data-driven team asks: "What changed, why, and what should I do about it?" We proactively keep users informed about what matters in their data, delivering the right insights and recommendations at the right time, to the right places, both inside and outside of Mixpanel.

Some examples of what we are building:

Signals: Statistical analysis that automatically identifies which user behaviors cause downstream business outcomes — such as which actions genuinely improve 30-day retention — using causal inference to move beyond correlation

Forecasting: Time-series modeling that projects whether a KPI (e.g. Signups) will hit its goal by end of quarter — including trend decomposition, seasonality adjustment, and confidence bands against a target.

Simulation: Causal impact modeling that estimates how moving one metric (e.g. weekly sharing rate) by a given amount will ripple through to downstream KPIs like retention or revenue — giving teams a quantified basis for prioritization

Cohort Detection: Automated identification of at-risk user cohorts by finding active users who resemble known churned segments across both behavioral patterns and descriptive characteristics, before they churn. Offline batch survival analysis models that estimate each user's probability of a future outcome (e.g. likelihood to churn or convert within 30 days).

About the Role

As the first Data Scientist embedded in product engineering, you'll champion integrating cutting-edge data science techniques into Mixpanel's products and serve as a methodological resource for cross-functional teams tackling problems that benefit from deeper DS expertise — such as adaptive experimentation. You won't just advise on Proactive Insights; you'll be the analytical brain driving how Signals, Forecasting, Simulation, Predictions, and Cohort Detection actually work.

Your models are the reasoning layer behind an AI system that proactively tells customers what changed, why, and what to do next — and increasingly, the layer behind an agent that acts on their behalf. As more of this experience becomes agentic, rigorous causal grounding is what separates a trustworthy recommendation from a plausible-sounding one. You'll be the person who makes sure it's the former.

You'll design and validate causal inference approaches that go beyond surface-level correlation, and partner on how those outputs get translated — often via LLMs — into clear, natural-language, actionable experiences for Mixpanel's customers: you own the rigor, the system owns the explanation. You'll partner closely with strong product engineers who own the implementation — your job is to make sure the methodology is rigorous, well-documented, and grounded in real outcomes. You'll also collaborate cross-functionally with teams like AI platform, analysis, and data infrastructure to scale your analytic solutions beyond what you could build alone.

This is a high-impact, high-autonomy role on a small, fast-moving team. You'll have significant influence over the analytical direction of a new product category at Mixpanel that helps thousands of companies understand what truly drives their most important metrics.

Responsibilities

Own the end-to-end analytical design for Signals, Forecasting, Simulation, and Cohort Detection — including methodology selection, statistical validation, and iteration based on results

Assess data quality and trust prerequisites before extending forecasting or predictive features to customers — a model is only as trustworthy as the data feeding it

Design and apply causal inference methods to move beyond correlation and establish which user behaviors genuinely drive downstream business outcomes

Build and own time-series forecasting models that project KPI trajectories against goals — extending our existing use of TimesFM into customer-facing forecasting features

Build survival analysis and retention models that underpin Signals and Simulation outputs

Develop clustering and behavioral similarity approaches for Cohort Detection that are both statistically sound and interpretable to end users

Document methodology clearly — including assumptions, validation approaches, and expected output behavior — so engineers can implement reliably without ambiguity

Review and validate that production results match expected statistical behavior, partnering with engineers on edge cases and anomalies

Establish rigor around statistical significance, multiple testing correction, and uncertainty quantification so customers can trust what they see

Work cross-functionally with internal stakeholders, including Finance and Data Science, to ensure analytical outputs are grounded in real business outcomes

Communicate findings and methodology clearly to Product and Engineering — translating statistical concepts into plain language

We're Looking For Someone Who Has

MS or PhD in Statistics, Economics, Mathematics, or a related quantitative field — or equivalent industry experience with demonstrated causal inference expertise

5+ years of experience applying statistical modeling to real-world product or business problems

Hands-on causal inference experience — propensity score matching, regression discontinuity, difference-in-differences, or instrumental variables — with the judgment to choose the right method for a given problem

Experience with survival analysis or retention modeling (e.g. Cox proportional hazards, Kaplan-Meier)

Strong Python fluency across the analytical stack — statsmodels, scikit-learn, pandas, and equivalent libraries for survival analysis, clustering, and time-series modeling

Experience with time-series forecasting methods — classical approaches (ARIMA, exponential smoothing) and/or modern foundation models such as TimesFM, Chronos, or similar

Experience with clustering and similarity methods applied to behavioral or user data

Strong statistical communication — you can explain a propensity score or a survival curve to a PM without losing them

SQL fluency for data access, exploration, and validation

Comfort working in a product environment where analytical rigor and practical delivery go hand in hand

Bonus Points For

Experience working with large-scale behavioral event data (product analytics, growth, or similar domains)

Familiarity with feature engineering from raw event streams

Experience with structural equation modeling or causal DAGs for multi-metric impact modeling (directly applicable to Simulation)

Familiarity with how offline batch analyses are productionized, even if you're not implementing them yourself

Comfort working directly in a production codebase alongside engineers

Experience at an analytics, observability, or growth platform

Experience evaluating or grounding LLM-generated explanations or recommendations against statistical outputs (e.g. hallucination or consistency checks on AI-generated insights)

Comfort using AI coding tools (Claude Code, Cursor, etc.) to accelerate modeling iteration

Compensation

The amount listed below is the total target cash compensation (TTCC) and includes base compensation and variable compensation in the form of either a company bonus or commissions. Variable compensation type is determined by your role and level. In addition to the cash compensation provided, this position is also eligible for equity consideration and other benefits including medical, vision, and dental insurance coverage. You can view our benefits offerings here.

Our salary ranges are determined by role and level and are benchmarked to the SF Bay Area Technology data cut released by Radford, a global compensation database. The range displayed represents the minimum and maximum TTCC for new hire salaries for the position across all of our US locations. To stay on top of market conditions, we refresh our salary ranges twice a year so these ranges may change in the future. Within the range, individual pay is determined by experience, job-related skills, qualifications, and other factors. If you have questions about the specific range, your recruiter can share this information.

Mixpanel Compensation Range

$226,000—$266,000 USD